3.6StatisticsStretch

Approximating a Binomial Distribution

When n is large and p is close to 0.5, a binomial distribution is well-approximated by a normal distribution. A continuity correction bridges the discrete and continuous models.

26 min The Normal Distribution
Edexcel A Level Maths: 3.6 Approximating the Binomial DistributionCurated by Kepler, not produced by us. Watch it before the notes below.
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What you'll be able to do

  • State the conditions for a normal approximation
  • Find μ and σ from the binomial
  • Apply a continuity correction
  • Compute the approximate probability
1

The approximation

If X∼B(n,p)X \sim B(n, p) with nn large and pp near 0.50.5, then XX is approximately N(np, np(1−p))N(np,\ np(1-p)) — the normal with the same mean and variance.

X∼B(n,p) ≈ N(np, np(1−p))X \sim B(n,p) \ \approx\ N\big(np,\ np(1-p)\big)
Mean np, variance np(1−p).
2

Continuity correction

Because binomial is discrete and normal is continuous, adjust by ±0.5\pm 0.5. For example, P(X≥6)P(X \ge 6) becomes P(Y>5.5)P(Y > 5.5) and P(X≤6)P(X \le 6) becomes P(Y<6.5)P(Y < 6.5).

Example 1X∼B(100,0.5)X \sim B(100, 0.5). State the approximation and the correction for P(X≤60)P(X \le 60).
1μ=50\mu = 50, σ2=25\sigma^2 = 25, so Y∼N(50,25)Y \sim N(50, 25).
2Continuity: P(Y<60.5)P(Y < 60.5).
Answer
Y∼N(50,25)Y \sim N(50, 25), use P(Y<60.5)P(Y < 60.5).

Tip — Decide ±0.5 by widening the region to include the boundary integer.

Formula recap

μ=np, σ2=np(1−p)\mu = np, \ \sigma^2 = np(1-p)
Matching parameters.
P(X≥a)→P(Y>a−0.5)P(X \ge a) \to P(Y > a - 0.5)
Continuity correction.

Common mistakes to avoid

Omitting the continuity correction.
Always adjust by ±0.5 when approximating.
Using np(1−p) as σ instead of σ².
np(1−p) is the variance; σ is its square root.

Key takeaways

  • B(n,p) ≈ N(np, np(1−p)) for large n, p near 0.5.
  • Apply a ±0.5 continuity correction.
  • Widen the region to include the boundary integer.

Test yourself

Answer a few questions, then review anything you missed.

Prefer paper? Open the written self-check

Answer each question before opening its answer. This self-check does not record a quiz score.

  1. B(n, p) is approximated by:

    • N(np,np(1−p))N(np, np(1-p))
    • N(p,n)N(p, n)
    • N(np,np)N(np, np)
    • N(0,1)N(0, 1)
    Show answer and explanation

    Answer: N(np,np(1−p))N(np, np(1-p))

    Same mean and variance.

  2. The normal approximation is best when:

    • n large, p near 0.5
    • n small
    • p near 0
    • p near 1
    Show answer and explanation

    Answer: n large, p near 0.5

    Roughly symmetric.

  3. A continuity correction adjusts by:

    • ±0.5\pm 0.5
    • ±1\pm 1
    • ±0.1\pm 0.1
    • 00
    Show answer and explanation

    Answer: ±0.5\pm 0.5

    Discrete to continuous.

  4. For B(100, 0.5), the mean and variance are:

    • 5050 and 2525
    • 5050 and 5050
    • 100100 and 2525
    • 2525 and 5050
    Show answer and explanation

    Answer: 5050 and 2525

    np and np(1−p).

  5. P(X≤60)P(X \le 60) with continuity correction becomes:

    • P(Y<60.5)P(Y < 60.5)
    • P(Y<59.5)P(Y < 59.5)
    • P(Y<60)P(Y < 60)
    • P(Y>60.5)P(Y > 60.5)
    Show answer and explanation

    Answer: P(Y<60.5)P(Y < 60.5)

    Include 60.

Next step

Check your understanding

Work through questions on Approximating a Binomial Distribution. Use the feedback to decide what needs another look.

1 past-paper question · 3 marks

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