4Working as a PhysicistCore

Uncertainty and Error

No measurement is exact. A metre rule, a stopwatch and even a digital meter all leave a range within which the true value probably lies. That range is the uncertainty\textbf{uncertainty}, and quoting it is what separates a scientific measurement from a guess.

35 min Topic 1 · Working as a Physicist

What you'll be able to do

  • Distinguish random and systematic errors, precision and accuracy
  • Estimate absolute and percentage uncertainties from readings
  • Combine uncertainties for sums, products, quotients and powers
  • Quote results with uncertainties to an appropriate number of significant figures
1

Types of error

Random errors\textbf{Random errors} cause readings to scatter unpredictably around the true value — for example, human reaction time with a stopwatch. They are reduced by taking repeat readings and averaging.

Systematic errors\textbf{Systematic errors} shift all readings by the same amount or in the same proportion — for example, a zero error on a balance or a metre rule with a worn end. Repeating does not reduce them; they must be identified and corrected.

Precision\textbf{Precision} describes how closely repeated readings agree. Accuracy\textbf{Accuracy} describes how close a result is to the true value. Readings can be precise but inaccurate if a systematic error is present.

Tip — A zero error is systematic. Check instruments read zero before measuring, and subtract any offset from every reading.

2

Estimating uncertainty

For a single reading on an analogue scale, the uncertainty is usually half the smallest division; for a digital instrument, the resolution. A length measured with a rule needs two readings (each end), so its uncertainty is often taken as one full division.

For repeated readings, a common estimate of uncertainty is half the range\textbf{half the range}: (largest − smallest)/2. Anomalous results are excluded before calculating the mean and range.

The percentage uncertainty\textbf{percentage uncertainty} is the absolute uncertainty divided by the measured value, times 100%.

% uncertainty=absolute uncertaintyvalue×100%\%\ \text{uncertainty} = \dfrac{\text{absolute uncertainty}}{\text{value}} \times 100\%
Percentage uncertainty.
Example 1Five timings of a pendulum’s 10 oscillations are 15.2, 15.6, 15.3, 15.5 and 15.4 s. Find the mean and its percentage uncertainty.
1Mean =77.0/5=15.4= 77.0/5 = 15.4 s.
2Half range =(15.6−15.2)/2=0.2= (15.6 - 15.2)/2 = 0.2 s.
3Percentage =0.2/15.4×100%= 0.2/15.4 \times 100\%.
Answer15.4±0.215.4 \pm 0.2 s, a percentage uncertainty of 1.3%1.3\%.
3

Combining uncertainties

Adding or subtracting\textbf{Adding or subtracting} quantities: add the absolute\textbf{absolute} uncertainties. If d=x2−x1d = x_{2} - x_{1}, then Δd=Δx1+Δx2\Delta d = \Delta x_{1} + \Delta x_{2}.

Multiplying or dividing\textbf{Multiplying or dividing}: add the percentage\textbf{percentage} uncertainties. If ρ=m/V\rho = m/V, then %ρ=%m+%V\%\rho = \%m + \%V.

Raising to a power\textbf{Raising to a power}: multiply the percentage uncertainty by the power. If A=πr2A = \pi r^{2}, then %A=2×%r\%A = 2 \times \%r. Constants such as π\pi carry no uncertainty.

%(xy)=%x+%y\%(xy) = \%x + \%y
Products and quotients.
%(xn)=n×%x\%(x^{n}) = n \times \%x
Powers.
Example 1A wire’s diameter is 0.40±0.010.40 \pm 0.01 mm. Find the percentage uncertainty in its cross-sectional area.
1%d=0.01/0.40×100%=2.5%\%d = 0.01/0.40 \times 100\% = 2.5\%.
2A=πd2/4A = \pi d^{2}/4, so %A=2×2.5%\%A = 2 \times 2.5\%.
Answer5%5\%
4

Quoting results

State the result as value ±\pm absolute uncertainty with a unit, for example g=9.7±0.3 m s−2g = 9.7 \pm 0.3\ \mathrm{m\,s^{-2}}.

Round the uncertainty to one or two significant figures, then quote the value to the same decimal place. Writing 9.736±0.39.736 \pm 0.3 is inconsistent.

To judge accuracy, compare with an accepted value: if it lies within the uncertainty range, the result is consistent with it. The percentage difference\textbf{percentage difference} from the accepted value can also be compared with the percentage uncertainty.

Tip — If the accepted value lies outside your uncertainty range, suspect a systematic error you have not accounted for.

Equation recap

Δ(x±y)=Δx+Δy\Delta(x \pm y) = \Delta x + \Delta y
Sums and differences.
%(xy), %(x/y)=%x+%y\%(xy),\ \%(x/y) = \%x + \%y
Products and quotients.
%(xn)=n %x\%(x^{n}) = n\,\%x
Powers.

Common mistakes to avoid

Saying repeat readings remove systematic error.
Repeats reduce random error only.
Adding percentage uncertainties for a difference.
Differences use absolute uncertainties.
Forgetting to double the percentage uncertainty for r2r^{2}.
Powers multiply the percentage uncertainty.
Confusing precision with accuracy.
Precision is agreement between readings; accuracy is closeness to the true value.

Key takeaways

  • Random errors scatter readings; systematic errors shift them all.
  • Uncertainty from repeats is half the range.
  • Sums and differences: add absolute uncertainties.
  • Products, quotients and powers: add percentage uncertainties, multiplied by any power.
  • Quote value ± uncertainty with matching precision and units.

Test yourself

Answer a few questions, then review anything you missed.

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