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You almost never get to measure everyone. Statistics is the business of saying something reliable about a whole from a much smaller — and whether that works depends entirely on how the sample was chosen.
The big picture
Every method below trades representativeness against practicality, and no method wins on both. A simple random sample is unbiased but needs a complete list of the population and a lot of legwork; an opportunity sample takes ten minutes and can be badly skewed. The examinable skill is not memorising five definitions — it is being able to say, for a given situation, which method is appropriate and what its specific weakness is. That judgement is also what makes the rest of statistics meaningful: every hypothesis test later assumes the sample was drawn properly, and none of the mathematics rescues you from a biased sample.
What you'll be able to do
A observes every member of the population. A observes a subset. The is the list of population members from which the sample is drawn — a school register, an employee database, an electoral roll.
A census gives a completely accurate picture, but it is expensive, slow, and sometimes impossible: testing every match in a factory’s output would leave nothing to sell, because the test destroys the item. A sample is cheaper and faster but only ever an estimate, and it can be biased.
Not every population has a usable sampling frame. You cannot list every fish in a lake, which immediately rules out any method that requires numbering the population.
Destructive testing is the cleanest argument for sampling. If checking a fuse means blowing it, a census would destroy the entire product line — so the question is never "sample or census?" but "how do we sample well?".
In a , every member of the population has an equal chance of selection and every possible sample is equally likely. In practice you number the sampling frame and generate random numbers, discarding repeats. It is unbiased, but needs a full frame and can be laborious.
takes every th member from an ordered list, where is the population size divided by the sample size, with a random start in the first block. It is quicker than simple random sampling and spreads the sample through the list — but if the list has a repeating pattern with the same period as , the sample can be badly skewed.
divides the population into groups (strata) that matter — year groups, departments, age bands — and samples from each in proportion to its size. It guarantees every group is represented in the right ratio, which simple random sampling only does on average.
Tip — Always check your stratified sample sizes add to the total. If rounding has left you one over or under, adjust the largest stratum and say that you have done so.
sets targets for how many of each type to interview — 20 men and 20 women, say — and the interviewer chooses who fills the quota. It is cheap and needs no sampling frame, but the interviewer’s choices introduce bias: people who look approachable get picked disproportionately.
(also called convenience sampling) takes whoever is available at the time. It is the fastest method and the least reliable, because the people who happen to be in one place at one time are rarely typical of the population.
Neither method is random, so strictly the inference machinery of later chapters does not apply. They appear in the specification because they are common in real research and you need to be able to criticise them.
The strongest criticism of a non-random sample is usually specific rather than general. "It is biased" earns little; "surveying at 10am on a weekday systematically excludes people in full-time work, who are the population of interest" earns the marks.
Exam questions give a scenario and ask which method is appropriate, or ask you to criticise one. Two questions settle most cases: is there a usable sampling frame, and does the population contain groups that must be represented proportionally?
No frame available points to quota or opportunity sampling. A frame plus important subgroups points to stratified. A frame with no meaningful subgroups allows simple random or systematic.
Whatever you choose, name the specific advantage and the specific drawback in context rather than in the abstract.
Tip — When asked for an advantage, make it about this scenario. "Quick and easy" is weak; "no sampling frame is needed, and the shoppers are already present" is a reason.
Think like an examiner
Common misconceptions
Sampling
Stretch yourself
A company has 340 staff in production, 150 in sales and 110 in administration. A stratified sample of 60 is required. Find the sample size from each department, and explain why stratified sampling is preferable here to simple random sampling.
Hint — Find the sampling fraction first. Then think about what could go wrong if the smallest department were under-represented.
Questions students ask
Key takeaways
How this fits the course
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