S6.1StatisticsCore

Probability Distributions

A probability distribution lists every value a random variable can take alongside its probability. Because something must happen, all those probabilities add to 1 — the rule behind most distribution questions.

25 min Statistical Distributions
Edexcel AS Level Maths: 6.1 Probability DistributionsCurated by Kepler, not produced by us. Watch it before the notes below.
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What you'll be able to do

  • Understand a discrete random variable
  • Read and build a probability distribution
  • Use the fact that probabilities sum to 1
  • Find a probability from the distribution
1

Random variables

A discrete random variable\textbf{discrete random variable} XX takes specific numerical values, each with a probability. The distribution can be given as a table or as a function P(X=x)P(X = x).

2

Probabilities sum to 1

Every probability distribution must satisfy one rule: the probabilities of all possible values add up to 11. This lets you find a missing probability.

∑P(X=x)=1\sum P(X = x) = 1
All the probabilities total 1.
Example 1X takes values 1, 2, 3 with P(1) = 0.2, P(2) = 0.5, P(3) = k. Find k.
10.2+0.5+k=10.2 + 0.5 + k = 1.
Answerk=0.3k = 0.3

Tip — A missing probability is found by making the whole distribution add to 1.

3

Finding probabilities

To find the probability of a range (e.g. P(X≥2)P(X \ge 2)), add the probabilities of the relevant values. A distribution can also be defined by a formula, which you evaluate at each value.

Example 1For the distribution above, find P(X≥2)P(X \ge 2).
1P(2)+P(3)=0.5+0.3P(2) + P(3) = 0.5 + 0.3.
Answer0.80.8

Formula recap

∑P(X=x)=1\sum P(X = x) = 1
Probabilities sum to 1.
P(X≥a)=sum of relevant P(X=x)P(X \ge a) = \text{sum of relevant } P(X=x)
Range probabilities.

Common mistakes to avoid

A distribution whose probabilities do not total 1.
Always check (or enforce) that the probabilities sum to 1.
Multiplying probabilities to find P(X ≥ 2).
Add the probabilities of the included values.

Key takeaways

  • A probability distribution pairs each value of X with its probability.
  • All probabilities sum to 1 (use this to find a missing one).
  • For a range, add the relevant probabilities.

Test yourself

Answer a few questions, then review anything you missed.

Next step

Check your understanding

Work through questions on Probability Distributions. Use the feedback to decide what needs another look.

6 past-paper questions · 18 marks

Practise this topic

Related lessons

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